TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many points each team will score in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds for either team, allowing for varied levels of risk and potential return based on expected performance.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either New Orleans or Baltimore in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold for a team to exceed; if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold in the first half, the market resolves to Yes. If the team does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The governing body's official scoring rules will determine the final point totals, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and are directly incentivized to be correct. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable point of comparison for assessing market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first-half team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Saints and Ravens’ first-half performance. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both the Saints and the Ravens in the first half will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the payout of their contracts shortly after the conclusion of the first half of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Saints or the Ravens would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts and any late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected developments in the hours leading up to kickoff are often reflected in the price of contracts.