TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
New Orleans vs Baltimore: 1st Baltimore Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of New Orleans vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$6,123

Derrick Henry

 - Kalshi

Derrick Henry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 1:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,623
N/A
N/A
$2,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rashod Bateman

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,550
N/A
N/A
$910
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$763
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$661
N/A
N/A
$582
Settled
No
kalshi

LaJohntay Wester

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$177
Settled
No
kalshi

Devontez Walker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Moore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Hibner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Cuevas

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Durham Smythe

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens D/ST

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Elijah Sarratt

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets focus on predicting which Baltimore player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against New Orleans. Each market tracks a specific player or the defense, determining if they are the first to find the end zone. If no Baltimore touchdowns are scored, all player-specific markets resolve negatively.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified Baltimore player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined by whether they score the first touchdown. If no Baltimore touchdowns occur during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player markets resolve to No. This applies uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first Baltimore touchdown market tracks the current price of contracts representing each possible outcome – specifically, whether a touchdown will be scored by Baltimore before any other team. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $5,929, and the total volume traded to date, reaching $6,123. You can view the price history to see how the market has fluctuated as new information becomes available. This allows traders to assess sentiment and potential opportunities within this specific market.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting bias and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the probability of the first Baltimore touchdown. Discrepancies between prediction markets and sportsbooks can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, though these are often short-lived as markets adjust.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of the first Baltimore touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising the price and increased selling pressure lowering it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, following the conclusion of the New Orleans versus Baltimore game. The outcome will be determined by identifying which team scores the first touchdown. This will be verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The market will settle to 100 for the correct outcome and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts representing the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will lose their investment.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players for either team, particularly the Baltimore quarterback or wide receivers, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations about scoring. Game day developments, like early defensive strategies or unexpected player performances, will also contribute to price fluctuations. Even pre-game analysis from sports commentators and experts could sway trader sentiment and move this market.