TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between New Mexico and Oklahoma. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team could win that quarter, allowing participants to bet on various levels of dominance in a single segment of the game.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference in the second quarter of the designated New Mexico vs Oklahoma college football game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin for that market during the second quarter alone. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the scheduled time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within this market. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, especially if new information emerges that isn’t immediately reflected in the sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the New Mexico vs Oklahoma game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as this will determine the payout of contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New Mexico or Oklahoma teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any major shifts in public perception or betting trends, even outside of Kalshi, could influence trader behavior and therefore the price of contracts in this market. Game day performance in the first quarter could also heavily influence the second quarter spread.