TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates the margin of victory for either New Mexico United or San Antonio, focusing on whether one team secures a win by a substantial number of goals. The result depends on the competitive balance and scoring efficiency of both sides.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential in the New Mexico United vs San Antonio professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Thresholds include New Mexico United winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and San Antonio winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days; if not played or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader sentiment and can shift more rapidly with new information. This can create opportunities where the market implies a different likely outcome than standard betting odds, especially as game-day approaches or after key player updates.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and goal differential, which will be compared against the defined spread to settle all positions. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed scores and any post-match adjustments that could affect the final determination.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift this market close to kickoff. Mid-week press conferences or social media updates from the teams may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute roster announcements or venue issues could cause rapid price adjustments, so watching official team channels and pre-game analysis is essential for spotting potential moves.