TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 1:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Antonio will win the upcoming USL Championship soccer match against New Mexico United. On Kalshi, San Antonio wins currently has a probability of 99.0%, while New Mexico United wins is at 1.0%. The resolution source is the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The decisive catalyst to watch will be the match result on August 29, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.
The event resolves based on the result of the New Mexico United vs San Antonio professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. There are three possible outcomes: a win for New Mexico United, a win for San Antonio, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The event specifically considers only the result within regular time plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to results determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and real-time information flow. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and historical data, prediction markets let participants react instantly to news, injuries, or weather conditions. This can create tighter or more volatile spreads compared to standard sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome — win, loss, or draw — as reported through authoritative sports news outlets and league records, aligning with standard event resolution practices on Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any last-minute lineup announcements or strategic moves by the teams may cause rapid adjustments in odds as the match approaches. Media coverage highlighting these developments often drives short-term volatility.