TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
Two teams face off in a professional soccer match where the winner is determined by the score after the full regulation period, without considering extra time or penalties. The result will settle the contest between the competing clubs.
The market resolves based on the result of the New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If New Mexico United wins, the "New Mexico United" market resolves to Yes; if Sacramento Republic wins, the "Sacramento Republic" market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market's odds are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the market finds value compared to traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New Mexico United versus Sacramento Republic USL Championship match. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role. Furthermore, major announcements related to player availability or strategic changes could cause the market to react. Public perception, influenced by media coverage and expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements in this market.