TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New Mexico United vs. Indy Eleven
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of New Mexico United vs. Indy Eleven?

Volume:
$236,238

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 12:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,608
N/A
N/A
$39,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (New Mexico United vs. Indy Eleven)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico United

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127,350
N/A
N/A
$84,086
Settled
No
polymarket

New Mexico United

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Indy Eleven

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,609
N/A
N/A
$36,899
Settled
No
polymarket

Indy Eleven

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer game between New Mexico United and Indy Eleven on September 11, 2026. Markets exist for New Mexico United winning, Indy Eleven winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution criteria for a canceled game differs between Kalshi and Polymarket, creating a potential for inconsistent outcomes.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, consider the differing resolutions on each platform. Polymarket's draw market will benefit from a cancellation, while Kalshi's win markets will also benefit.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on a win, loss, or draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on a win, loss, or draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, all markets resolve to 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between New Mexico United and Indy Eleven.

Kalshi

This event centers on the New Mexico United versus Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer game set for September 11, 2026. The market resolution is contingent on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. The possible results include a win for New Mexico United, a win for Indy Eleven, or a tie. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to exceed 48 hours from the original date, the market will be resolved at a fair price. As with the other event, Kalshi emphasizes its lack of official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news faster than sportsbooks, leading to more dynamic pricing.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Different risk appetites among traders on each platform also play a role. For example, Polymarket might attract more conservative bettors, while Kalshi could be favored by those willing to take on more risk. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can impact price stability and sensitivity to new information. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities.