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$134.1b

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)
polymarket
kalshi

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)

Volume:
$33,858

Sam Houston

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sam Houston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,144
N/A
N/A
$19,066
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,714
N/A
N/A
$8,720
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between New Mexico State Aggies and Sam Houston Bearkats scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with resolution tied to the final game result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Sam Houston win and New Mexico State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid path for a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero tip: Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market is structurally broken. Before trading Kalshi, demand clarification: does one outcome resolve to No? Is this a data entry error? Do not assume Kalshi will apply discretionary correction at settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary structure: NMSU win resolves to 'New Mexico State Aggies', Sam Houston win resolves to 'Sam Houston Bearkats'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation splits 50-50. Fully resolvable.
  • Kalshi: Defective binary: both Sam Houston win AND New Mexico State win resolve to Yes. No outcome maps to No. Logically impossible to resolve as a binary Yes/No contract.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.