TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Hawai'i. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Hawai'i, New Mexico State, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count toward the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, the result will be based on the actual game outcome. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The event explicitly covers all possible scoring scenarios, ensuring a clear resolution regardless of game length or timing adjustments.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the New Mexico St. vs. Hawai'i game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any scoring plays will be reviewed against official sources to ensure an accurate and definitive outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or even weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly shift the odds, especially if they indicate strong conviction from informed traders. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in shaping market expectations.