TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:40 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of a college football game between New Mexico State and Hawai'i. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, resolving based on whether the winning team exceeds that margin within the first half.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i college football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For each market, if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the first half count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets cover a range of point differentials for both teams, allowing participants to bet on various potential outcomes for the first-half performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders. If a significant number of traders believe New Mexico St. will perform better than expected, the price will move in their favor, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i 1st half spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Currently, the most actively traded contract indicates a probability implied by its price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half spread result of the New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i football game. If New Mexico St. wins the first half by more than 3.5 points, contracts predicting that outcome will pay out $100. Otherwise, those contracts will be worth $0. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New Mexico St. or Hawai'i teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they significantly impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders' assessments of the likely first-half spread. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations.