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New Mexico St. vs Florida St.: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

New Mexico St. vs Florida St.: 4th Quarter Spread

Volume:
$665

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 10:20 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico St. wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins 4Q by over 19.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico St. wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico St. wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico St. wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either New Mexico State or Florida State specifically in the fourth quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. For markets where Florida St. is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Florida St. wins the fourth quarter by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where New Mexico St. is the designated winner, resolution occurs if New Mexico St. wins the fourth quarter by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result of the fourth quarter. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, taking into account all known information up to that point without predicting unplayed portions of the game.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets often price in nuances that sportsbooks may not fully capture, especially for specific segments like this market. While sportsbooks set a line based on broader factors, traders in this market react to detailed game trends, injury updates, and quarter-specific matchups. That can create divergence — for example, if late-game strategies favor one team, this market may shift before sportsbook lines adjust, offering sharper insights into fourth-quarter expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends purely on the fourth-quarter point differential — no adjustments for overtime or other special conditions. Once the game concludes and official scores are published, the market settles based on the recorded stats for that specific period.

Key signals include injury reports released before the game’s final quarter, especially for star players who influence scoring or defense. Coaching strategies revealed in pre-game interviews, weather updates affecting stadium conditions, and even early-game momentum that shapes fourth-quarter tactics can all shift trader sentiment. Any development hinting at a team’s offensive or defensive strength in the late stages may cause rapid moves in this market.