TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
polymarket
kalshi

New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Volume:
$1,196,229

New Mexico

 - Kalshi

New Mexico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$627,467
N/A
N/A
$360,506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$496,860
N/A
N/A
$227,530
Settled
No
polymarket

New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,409
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 156.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,585
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 155.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,611
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between New Mexico Lobos and Fresno State Bulldogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -8.5 and -9.5, and total points over/under at 155.5 and 156.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both New Mexico win and Fresno State win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the specification is corrected. Polymarket's suite of markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are all internally consistent and can be traded safely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline, spread, and total markets all use standard binary logic: one outcome resolves affirmatively, the other negatively. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. All markets reference final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies both New Mexico win and Fresno State win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No specification provided for postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.