TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves Yes if both New England and Toronto each score at least one goal during their MLS match on July 22, 2026. The resolution window covers the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but excludes extra time or penalty shootouts.
If New England and Toronto both score a goal in the New England vs Toronto MLS match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate beliefs from many independent traders competing for accuracy. Prediction markets typically update faster in response to breaking news or injury reports, and they often price outcomes more efficiently when traders have strong information advantages. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As new information emerges—team news, lineup changes, or betting patterns—traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move in real time. This mechanism ensures the market price stays responsive to the latest available intelligence about whether both teams will score.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the New England vs Toronto match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether both teams scored at least one goal each during regulation and any applicable extra time. Resolution is straightforward: if the final scoreline shows goals from both sides, the yes outcome wins; if either team failed to score, the no outcome prevails. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match reports to anticipate the resolution.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends. Weather conditions on match day can influence scoring likelihood, as rain or wind may favor defensive play. Betting action from sharp traders often signals confidence in one direction and can trigger cascading price moves. Head-to-head history, home-field advantage, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff are also closely watched. Any surprise team selection or late-breaking injury report typically generates sharp repricing as traders recalibrate their probability estimates.