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2,633

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New England vs Seattle: Winning Margin
kalshi

What is the result of New England vs Seattle?

Volume:
$146,497

Seattle wins by 1 to 6 points

 - Kalshi

Seattle wins by 1 to 6 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 12:23 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Seattle wins by 1 to 6 points

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,462
N/A
N/A
$19,865
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,732
N/A
N/A
$38,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by 7 to 14 points

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,167
N/A
N/A
$18,903
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by 15 or more points

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,058
N/A
N/A
$18,737
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by 1 to 6 points

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,588
N/A
N/A
$12,753
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by 7 to 14 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,616
N/A
N/A
$10,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by 15 or more points

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,874
N/A
N/A
$5,386
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between New England and Seattle, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different possible score differential, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might win. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The markets collectively determine the outcome of the New England versus Seattle professional football game scheduled for September 9, 2026, based on the point differential between the two teams at the end of the full game, including any overtime. A 'Yes' outcome for any given market occurs if the winning team's point differential falls within the specified range outlined in that market—ranging from a tie (0-point differential) to victories by 1–6 points, 7–14 points, or 15+ points. Each market operates independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body's official score, including any adjustments or certifications post-game, will be the definitive reference for all markets. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL winning margin market tracks the current price of contracts representing different winning margins in the New England versus Seattle game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $141,667. The total volume traded on this market is $146,497. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment regarding the likely outcome of the game.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Polls and analysts often predict a close game, but this market provides a continuously updated assessment of probabilities as traders exchange contracts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that margin occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a specific margin is likely, the price of that contract will increase. Conversely, if traders think a margin is improbable, the price will decrease, creating opportunities for arbitrage and informed speculation.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin of the New England versus Seattle game, as officially recorded, will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the winning margin will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New England or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage and social media, can all influence trading activity and move the price of contracts in this market.