TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the combined scoring performance of two football teams in an upcoming match. The outcome depends on how many touchdowns are scored overall, with different thresholds determining resolution. These markets reflect the excitement of live gameplay and the unpredictability of team performance.
All markets resolve based on the total number of touchdowns scored by both New England and Seattle during their Pro Football game scheduled for September 9, 2026, including any touchdowns scored in overtime. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 3 to 8 touchdowns) that, if met or exceeded by the combined teams, results in a 'Yes' resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific touchdown threshold being wagered on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for those looking to identify potentially mispriced opportunities, though it is important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total touchdown outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new data and provides a real-time assessment of the potential for various touchdown totals in the New England vs Seattle game.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total number of touchdowns scored in the New England vs Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total touchdown outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the New England or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ assessments of the likely total touchdowns scored. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.