TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between New England and Seattle in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 9, 2026. If Seattle wins by exceeding any of the specified point margins—from 1.5 points up to 20.5 points—the corresponding 'Seattle wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if New England wins by more than any of the designated margins—from 1.5 points up to 14.5 points—the relevant 'New England wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and resolution depends solely on whether the actual victory margin surpasses the exact numerical threshold defined for that specific market. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of crowd-sourced forecasting. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on sharp handicappers and commission structures, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on public sentiment and recent performance. Monitoring both can provide a broader view of expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through direct buying and selling of contracts representing possible point differentials. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of all participants on Kalshi. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as new information emerges, such as player injuries or changing team form, influencing where the market heads next.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential will be compared against the market’s defined spread to determine which contracts are settled as winning or losing, based on transparent and publicly available results.