TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 12:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks a specific combination of results between the first half and the full game in the New England versus Seattle football match. It requires both the first half winner and the full game winner to match the exact conditions specified for resolution.
The market resolves to Yes only if both the first half and full game results match the specified outcome (e.g., Seattle wins both halves and the full game, or New England wins the first half but Seattle wins the full game). If either the first half or full game result does not align with the market's condition, it resolves to No. Postponements within 48 hours allow the market to stay open; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. This rule applies to all combinations of first half and full game results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as traders react to late-breaking news and updates. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the New England vs Seattle match, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New England or Seattle teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they are expected to affect playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trader behavior. Finally, as the event draws nearer, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could also contribute to price movements in this market.