TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between New England and Orlando. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the New England vs Orlando professional MLS soccer game scheduled for September 19, 2026. The determining factor is the score after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus informed trading activity surrounding the New England vs Orlando match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain number of goals, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the New England vs Orlando match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the match. The market will determine which outcome (e.g., over/under a specific goal total) aligns with the verified final score, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New England or Orlando would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.