TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve particular combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on a different player and a different yardage benchmark that must be met or exceeded during the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on individual player performance in a specific football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a primary rule that resolves to 'Yes' if a designated player records a specified combined total of rushing and receiving yards. The thresholds vary by player and range from 50+ to 120+ yards. A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if the relevant player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual combined yards recorded during the game. These rules ensure clarity in settlement, accounting for player participation and in-game performance metrics.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing the price. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the New England versus Jacksonville player prop. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved will be sourced from official NFL statistics. This will determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the actual results and triggers payout to contract holders. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected reports about player health, particularly for key players involved in the rushing and receiving game, would likely cause substantial price movements. Additionally, late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or changes in public perception could also impact trading activity and the overall pricing of this market.