TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players achieve particular thresholds of rushing attempts in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether players will meet or exceed set numbers of carries during the match. The outcome depends purely on in-game performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record the specified number of rushing attempts or more in the New England vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. All markets are independent and evaluated separately according to their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team biases when establishing their odds, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust, but the speed and nature of those adjustments can vary significantly. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds closer to game time as more information is priced in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The goal is to accurately predict the final rushing attempts total and profit from correctly anticipating market movements.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of rushing attempts in the New England versus Jacksonville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine which contracts settle at $100 and which settle at $0. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total rushing attempts will receive a payout of $100 per contract, while those holding contracts for different totals will lose their investment. The resolution process ensures a clear and transparent outcome based on official game data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts – inclement weather often leads to a greater emphasis on the running game. News regarding coaching strategies or potential changes to offensive play-calling could also influence trading activity. Unexpected developments, such as a key defensive player being ruled out, could also shift expectations regarding rushing yardage and, consequently, rushing attempts. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.