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New England vs Jacksonville: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

New England vs Jacksonville: Player Longest Reception

Volume:
$2,348

Bhayshul Tuten: over 7.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten: over 7.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten: over 7.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mack Hollins: over 17.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Romeo Doubs: over 20.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
$168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brenton Strange: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rhamondre Stevenson: over 8.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DeMario Douglas: over 14.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Washington: over 23.5 yards

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Brian Thomas Jr.: over 18.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Hunter Henry: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Jakobi Meyers: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a minimum yardage threshold for their longest reception in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on a different player and their performance metric, allowing participants to speculate on individual player achievements during the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple individual player performance metrics within a single football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, between New England and Jacksonville. Each market corresponds to a specific player and a designated yardage threshold for their longest reception during the game. If the named player records a reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if a player is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap—whether due to coaching decisions, injury, or other reasons—the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is later nullified by penalty, the market outcome is determined solely by whether the player's longest reception in the game meets or exceeds the threshold. This structure ensures that markets remain dynamic up until the first snap and then resolve definitively based on in-game performance.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may be influenced by factors like public betting biases or risk management. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly forecasting the outcome and putting their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying perspectives on the likelihood of each player achieving the longest reception. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as new developments emerge.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player's probability of having the longest reception. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the cost to receive a payout of $1 if that player ultimately has the longest reception. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and shifts in sentiment among traders, creating a real-time assessment of the most likely outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining which player had the longest reception during the New England versus Jacksonville game. The resolution will be based on the yardage of each player’s longest reception during the game, and the player with the highest yardage will be declared the winner of this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all impact the perceived likelihood of each player having the longest reception. A key receiver being ruled out due to injury would likely shift volume towards other players. Furthermore, updates on player matchups or reports about a player’s recent performance could also cause significant price movements. Even general sentiment shifts, driven by social media or expert analysis, can influence traders’ decisions and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.