TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match. Markets adjust based on player participation and in-game actions.
All markets in this event evaluate passing completions by designated quarterbacks in the New England vs Jacksonville game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold for resolution: markets resolve to 'Yes' if the specified quarterback records the exact number of completions or more. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual completions recorded during the game. These provisions ensure fair resolution regardless of late-game changes or nullified plays, while clarifying that market outcomes hinge solely on completions after the first snap is taken.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value, as the market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new data and perspectives regarding the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final number of passing completions. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this NFL passing completions market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved in the New England vs Jacksonville game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the official result and the corresponding payout for their contracts once the NFL data is finalized and available to the public. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate adverse conditions for passing, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely passing game performance will likely be reflected in the trading activity and price fluctuations of this market.