TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance metrics in an upcoming football match, focusing on how often each player attempts passes during the game. It allows participants to speculate on whether specific players will meet or exceed defined attempt thresholds. Outcomes depend entirely on in-game actions of named players.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by specified quarterbacks during the New England vs Jacksonville Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For any market, if the named quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the contract settles at its fair market price determined immediately before the game begins. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. All thresholds (e.g., 28+, 33+, etc.) are evaluated against the final official game statistics. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to aggregate information from a wider range of participants. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than traditional sportsbooks. It's a useful exercise to compare them both.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final passing attempt count for the specified team, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine whether the market settles in favor of the ‘over’ or ‘under’ outcome. The actual number of passing attempts will be the sole determinant, and any disputes will be resolved based on the official NFL data available after the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – including injuries or changes in depth chart – would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could impact passing game strategies and therefore the number of attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding offensive play-calling, or late-breaking reports on team strategies, could also drive movement. Finally, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps fueled by expert analysis, could also influence trading activity in this market.