TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified athletes or units achieve certain fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on official game statistics and standardized fantasy scoring rules. Each market is independent, allowing for multiple participants to exceed their designated points.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or team defense/special teams units in the full game (including overtime) between New England and Jacksonville, scheduled for September 27, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing/rushing/receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, field goals, sacks, defensive touchdowns, and points allowed by the defense. Players who do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The final fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no additional rounding or post-expiration adjustments. Each market has a unique threshold; if a participant’s recorded points exceed their specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.'
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. It's common to see prediction market prices move closer to the final outcome as more information becomes available, sometimes diverging from sportsbook odds due to differing perspectives on player performance and game strategy. This can be a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential fantasy point total for this game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point total for the New England versus Jacksonville game, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the winning contract. This resolution will be based on officially recorded statistics and scoring rules, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather forecasts, especially those affecting passing or rushing attacks, could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could lead to adjustments in traders’ expectations. Monitoring these signals and their potential effect on player performance is crucial for understanding market movements.