TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or unit will score the first touchdown for New England in their upcoming game against Jacksonville. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defense scoring the initial touchdown, with outcomes determined by in-game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for New England in the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once the player takes a snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no New England touchdowns are scored, the 'No New England Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. This applies uniformly across all player and unit markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a specific player will score the first New England touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player being the first to reach the endzone. Volume and price history are readily available on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on identifying which player scored the first touchdown for the New England team during the game against Jacksonville. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries – particularly to key offensive players for New England – would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could also influence scoring expectations and affect the market. Pre-game analysis and expert predictions, as well as any late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups, could all contribute to price movements in this market leading up to the game’s kickoff.