TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between New England and Cleveland specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled game. Outcomes are determined solely by scoring margins within that quarter, ignoring overall game results or other quarters.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential between New England and Cleveland during the third quarter of the game scheduled for August 27, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for victory margins, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, applied to either team. If the winning team exceeds the specified margin during that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and the broader game result or points from other quarters have no impact on resolution.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, with prices adjusting in real time based on trading volume and any new information about team performance or game dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the third quarter will be used to determine whether New England or Cleveland covers the spread, and the market will settle accordingly based on official game records.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, and strategic adjustments by coaches can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant momentum swings during the game, such as a surge in scoring or defensive stops, may cause rapid changes in odds as traders react to real-time developments.