TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New England Revolution and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than New England Revolution in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New England Revolution and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than New England Revolution in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Traders betting on the second half result may incorporate live game momentum, injury updates, or tactical adjustments that sportsbooks adjust more slowly. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp traders disagree with traditional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the aggregate positions of all traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second half result, and the market price converges toward the true probability as new information emerges closer to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the second half of the New England Revolution versus Toronto FC match concludes. The outcome is determined by the final score during the second half period, verified against credible public sources including official MLS records and major sports reporting. Traders should monitor the match live and any official league communications to understand how the result will be confirmed and when the market will settle.
Several factors can shift this market before resolution. Early second half goals or red cards will immediately reshape trader expectations about the final outcome. Injury updates to key players, tactical substitutions, or momentum swings in play will influence how traders reassess probabilities. Weather conditions, crowd energy, and team form heading into the match can also sway sentiment. As the second half progresses, each goal, save, or near-miss will trigger repricing as traders update their conviction on the likely result.