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New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Who will score first between New England Revolution and Toronto FC?

Volume:
$2,656

No Goal

 - Kalshi

No Goal - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 9:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

No Goal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England Revolution

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
$562
Settled
No
polymarket

New England Revolution

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
No
polymarket

Toronto FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which team scores first in the MLS match between New England Revolution and Toronto FC scheduled for July 22, 2026. The markets track the first goal scored during the match, with outcomes for Revolution, Toronto FC, or Neither team scoring.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope mismatch: Polymarket limits resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time periods. A goal in extra time would produce opposite outcomes.Hero tip: Monitor match progression carefully. If the match reaches extra time with no goals in regulation, Polymarket will resolve to Neither while Kalshi remains open. This creates arbitrage risk if extra time goals are likely. Consider match context (league, teams, historical data) to assess extra-time probability.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. If neither team scores in this window, market resolves to Neither. Resolution source is official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: First goal resolution window includes entire game: regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time. Market resolves Yes if either team scores first at any point during the entire match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between New England Revolution and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire New England Revolution vs Toronto FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal. The market can resolve to New England Revolution scoring first, Toronto FC scoring first, or no goal being scored at all.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the New England Revolution versus Toronto FC match. This market reflects real-time consensus from thousands of traders betting on the outcome. The dashboard displays current odds, trading volume across both venues, and historical price movement leading up to kickoff. By tracking this market, you can see how professional and casual traders assess each team's offensive threat and defensive vulnerability before the match begins.

Prediction market odds are set by traders themselves rather than by oddsmakers, which often produces sharper, more responsive pricing. Sportsbooks build in margins and adjust lines based on liability management, while this market reflects pure supply and demand from participants with real money at stake. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news, team roster changes, or weather updates because traders can adjust positions instantly. Many professional bettors monitor both venues to identify mispricings and arbitrage opportunities between traditional sportsbooks and decentralized trading platforms.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports on star forwards or defensive players, and weather conditions on match day. Tactical shifts, such as a coach switching to a more aggressive formation, can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage also influence pricing as new information surfaces. Large trades by known sharp bettors can trigger momentum moves, while social media sentiment and expert commentary may sway casual traders, creating temporary price swings before the market stabilizes closer to kickoff.