TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC?

Volume:
$453,371

Draw (New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC)

 - Polymarket

Draw (New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 9:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New England Revolution

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,228
N/A
N/A
$37,415
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,732
N/A
N/A
$19,480
Settled
No
polymarket

Toronto FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,776
N/A
N/A
$16,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,545
N/A
N/A
$2,937
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,228
N/A
N/A
$1,228
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a Major League Soccer match between New England Revolution and Toronto FC scheduled for July 22, 2026. Markets span three outcome types (Revolution win, draw, Toronto win) on Polymarket and four over/under goal total markets on Kalshi, all settling on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time), identical primary source (official MLS governing body statistics), and identical timing window (2-hour grace period for official publication before consensus fallback).Primary resolution logic: Official MLS statistics as recognized by Major League Soccer and event organizers, published via mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by goals scored in 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions
  • Official final result as declared by MLS governing body is binding
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for
  • If game is postponed, all markets remain open until game is completed
  • If game is canceled with no make-up game: Polymarket win/loss markets resolve No, draw markets resolve Yes; Kalshi goal markets require cancellation-specific guidance

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled game is completed. Resolution then follows standard rules based on the completed match result.
  • Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: Win markets (Revolution/Toronto) resolve No; Draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: Goal total markets require explicit cancellation protocol; presumed No if no makeup game scheduled.
  • Official score revision after resolution: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution will not be accounted for. Markets settle on the score as officially declared at time of resolution.
  • Source publication delay: If official MLS statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary resolution source.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on July 22, 2026. Official MLS statistics must be published or consensus established within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between New England Revolution and Toronto FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final goal count in the New England vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event features tiered goal thresholds: markets resolve Yes if the combined total exceeds 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals respectively. Each threshold operates independently, allowing bettors to take positions on different scoring scenarios for the same match.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the MLS Eastern Conference matchup. Traders on both venues are pricing outcomes related to the match result and goal totals, allowing you to monitor real-time consensus across independent prediction platforms. The cross-platform view helps identify where the strongest conviction lies and whether one venue is pricing the event differently than the other, giving you a complete picture of how the market is assessing this fixture.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on a different mechanism than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed odds, traders on these platforms buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, with prices reflecting collective belief. This peer-to-peer pricing often responds faster to new information and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially early in a market's life or when sharp traders identify mispricing. Comparing the two can reveal valuable edges for informed bettors.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's chances. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all factor into price movements. Closer to match day, weather conditions, lineup confirmations, and betting market activity on traditional sportsbooks often trigger repricing. Sharp traders monitoring these signals early can capitalize on slow-moving prices before the broader market catches up.