TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets
Volume:
$338,490
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional MLS soccer match between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score prop bets across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope and structural divergence: Polymarket offers comprehensive spread, over/under, and BTTS markets with explicit binary outcomes; Kalshi provides only extreme spread markets with ambiguous Yes/No resolution logic that conflates both teams' outcomes.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are self-contained and independently resolvable. Kalshi markets require clarification on the No condition—confirm whether No means the stated margin outcome does not occur for either team, or if these are directional-only markets. Cross-platform arbitrage is not recommended without explicit Kalshi clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive market suite: Spread markets (FC Cincinnati -1.5, -2.5; NE Revolution -1.5, -2.5) with explicit binary outcomes; Over/Under markets at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 total goals; Both Teams to Score (Yes/No). All resolve per mlssoccer.com official final score, 90 minutes + stoppage time only. Cancellation = 50-50 split.
- Kalshi: Four markets only: (1) New England wins by >1.5 goals = Yes; (2) Cincinnati wins by >1.5 goals = Yes; (3) New England wins by >2.5 goals = Yes; (4) Cincinnati wins by >2.5 goals = Yes. No explicit No condition stated. Ambiguous whether No = outcome does not occur or if markets are one-sided. No cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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