TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers
Volume:
$1,548,820
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball game between the Nevada Wolf Pack and Auburn Tigers, scheduled for March 25 at 9:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either 'Nevada Wolf Pack' or 'Auburn Tigers' depending on which team scores more points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi resolves based on point-spread thresholds (11 separate binary conditions covering various Auburn/Nevada win margins), while Polymarket resolves based on game outcome (moneyline) and total points (over/under). These frameworks cannot produce consistent outcomes for the same game result.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade between Kalshi and Polymarket on this group. A single game result (e.g., Auburn wins 75-68) will resolve differently on each platform: Kalshi may resolve YES on multiple conditions simultaneously, while Polymarket resolves to a single outcome per market type. Kalshi's 11 conditions create logical contradictions—for example, if Auburn wins by 10 points, conditions 3, 6, and 8 all resolve YES, but these are presented as separate binary markets, not mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi uses 11 separate binary YES/NO conditions based on specific point-spread thresholds (Auburn wins by >2.5, >5.5, >8.5, >11.5, >14.5, >17.5, >20.5, >23.5 points; Nevada wins by >1.5, >4.5, >7.5 points). Each condition resolves independently to YES or NO. This creates a non-standard resolution model where multiple conditions can resolve YES simultaneously for a single game outcome. Example: 'If Auburn wins by more than 2.5 points in the Nevada at Auburn men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting convention: Polymarket offers three distinct market types: (1) Moneyline (Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers—winner takes all), (2) Over/Under on combined points (14 separate O/U markets at thresholds 132.5 through 157.5), and (3) Spread markets (Auburn -8.5 through -15.5, resolving YES if Auburn wins by the specified margin or more). Each market is mutually exclusive within its type. Example: 'This market will resolve to Auburn Tigers if the Auburn Tigers win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Nevada Wolf Pack.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.