TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,268,536

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,864,438,999

455,542

Markets across

34,846

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,830

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Sports
Nevada vs. North Dakota State
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Nevada vs. North Dakota State?

Total volume:
$1,094,837
Volume 24h:
$1,084,656
24,948%
Liquidity:
$3,823
100%
Open interest:
$477,070
7,608%

Pick-Six Scored

 - Polymarket

Pick-Six Scored - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Pick-Six Scored

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pick-Six Scored

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown

100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

North Dakota State O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

North Dakota St.

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$339,142
N/A
N/A
$200,680
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 27.5

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nevada

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$565,641
N/A
N/A
$276,390
Settled
No
polymarket

Nevada vs. North Dakota State

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 237

Intro

This market tracks whether a pick-six—an interception returned for a touchdown—will be scored in the Nevada vs. North Dakota State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution determined by the official results reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the outcome will depend on turnovers and defensive plays during the contest.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks a specific tie resolution, while Polymarket specifies a 50-50 split in the event of a tie.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for tie resolution clarity. Consider the probability of a tie when evaluating Kalshi markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Nevada or North Dakota State if they win, including overtime. Tie resolves to 50-50. "If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins. No tie resolution specified. "If North Dakota St. wins the Nevada vs North Dakota St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nevada wins the Nevada vs North Dakota St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Nevada or North Dakota St. wins the college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, particularly when there is significant public interest and trading volume. It’s common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may initially misprice an event, and the market corrects it.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Nevada vs. North Dakota State game can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity. Additionally, the specific market structures offered – for example, spreads versus simple win/loss outcomes – can influence pricing. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. Differences in how each platform handles fees and margin requirements can also contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create distinct market dynamics on each venue.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Nevada vs. North Dakota State game, as reported by a recognized sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on both Polymarket and Kalshi once the official result is available. The outcome will be based on the final score of the game, as determined by official game statistics.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Nevada or North Dakota State team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Significant changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also be a catalyst. Finally, major news events affecting team morale or coaching decisions could all contribute to movement in the market. Traders will be closely monitoring these factors as they attempt to refine their predictions.