TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.5b
24H VOL:
$251,268,536
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,056,367
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,864,438,999
455,542
Markets across
34,846
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,830
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This market tracks whether a pick-six—an interception returned for a touchdown—will be scored in the Nevada vs. North Dakota State college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of a pick-six being scored is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution determined by the official results reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the outcome will depend on turnovers and defensive plays during the contest.
In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if either Nevada or North Dakota St. wins the college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
In the upcoming college football game between Nevada and North Dakota State, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Nevada vs. North Dakota State game can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity. Additionally, the specific market structures offered – for example, spreads versus simple win/loss outcomes – can influence pricing. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. Differences in how each platform handles fees and margin requirements can also contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create distinct market dynamics on each venue.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Nevada vs. North Dakota State game, as reported by a recognized sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on both Polymarket and Kalshi once the official result is available. The outcome will be based on the final score of the game, as determined by official game statistics.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Nevada or North Dakota State team would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Significant changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also be a catalyst. Finally, major news events affecting team morale or coaching decisions could all contribute to movement in the market. Traders will be closely monitoring these factors as they attempt to refine their predictions.