TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the goal differential between Netherlands and Morocco during regulation time of their FIFA World Cup match, specifically whether the Netherlands wins by more than 1.5 goals. On Kalshi, the probability of the Netherlands winning by more than 1.5 goals stands at 18.0%, while the probability of the Netherlands winning by more than 2.5 goals is 2.0%. The market resolves based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch the match on June 29, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the outcome.
Resolution is determined by the goal margin between Netherlands and Morocco after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of their FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, excluding extra time and penalties. The event evaluates whether Netherlands achieves a victory margin exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Morocco achieves a victory margin exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each threshold is assessed independently based on the final regulation-time score differential.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates real-money forecasts from participants who profit by accurately predicting the spread outcome, which can reveal information gaps or consensus shifts that traditional sportsbooks may lag in reflecting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent matched trade and pending orders at that moment. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and prices move to equilibrate supply and demand for each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Netherlands vs Morocco match concludes and the final regulation time score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the goal differential at the end of 90 minutes of play, excluding extra time or penalties. Your position settles based on whether the actual spread matches the outcome you predicted.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form or head-to-head history. Betting market shifts, expert predictions, and social media sentiment can also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and any late-breaking tactical changes may prompt repricing. As the event date approaches, increased mainstream media coverage and final odds from major sportsbooks often correlate with volume spikes and volatility in this market.