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Netherlands vs. Morocco - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Which team will score first, Netherlands or Morocco?

Volume:
$1,369,676

Netherlands

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 10:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Netherlands

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$190,578
N/A
N/A
$147,095
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Netherlands

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

NLD

View
N/A
N/A
—
$20,843
$35,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$700,980
N/A
N/A
$556,911
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
$0
$22,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Morocco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,568
N/A
N/A
$123,585
Settled
No
polymarket

Morocco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MAR

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$28,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks which team will score first during the Netherlands vs. Morocco FIFA World Cup match on June 29, 2026. Across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows Netherlands to score first at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with the market settling based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Watch for the match kickoff on June 29, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, as this is the event window during which the first-goal outcome will be determined.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope divergence: Polymarket and Predict limit resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, explicitly excluding extra time. Kalshi includes the entire game including extra time periods.Hero tip: Check which platform you are trading on. Polymarket and Predict markets will resolve based only on goals scored in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi markets include extra time. If the match goes to extra time, outcomes may diverge between platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal resolution window is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If neither team scores within this window, resolves to 'Neither'. Key quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
  • Kalshi: First goal resolution window covers the entire game including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time. Key quote: 'If Morocco records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Predict: First goal resolution window is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Identical to Polymarket. Key quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Netherlands and Morocco, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Morocco" if Morocco are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire Netherlands vs Morocco FIFA World Cup match on June 29, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Three outcomes are possible: Netherlands scores first, Morocco scores first, or no goal is scored during the match. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal by official match records.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Netherlands and Morocco, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Morocco" if Morocco are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often reflects sharper, less-padded probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter liquidity on major events and faster payouts. Comparing this market's implied probability to your preferred sportsbook's first-goal odds can reveal arbitrage opportunities or confirm where smart money is positioned ahead of kickoff.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and regulatory frameworks, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also settle outcomes using slightly different verification timelines or data sources, creating incentives for arbitrage. Additionally, user interface design and fee structures influence order flow, so one platform may see heavier action on one side of the market. These spreads typically narrow as the match approaches and information converges.

Team news—injuries to key strikers, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift first-goal odds. Recent form, head-to-head scoring patterns, and defensive vulnerabilities also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and pre-match betting patterns may trigger late movement. Social media sentiment and expert predictions can drive retail traders, while sharp money often reacts to official team sheets released closer to kickoff. Monitor these catalysts to identify when this market reprices.