TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 29, 2026 between Netherlands and Morocco.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 29, 2026 between Netherlands and Morocco.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on bookmaker models and manage risk through margin; prediction markets derive prices from live trader activity and supply-demand dynamics. Both reflect expectations about the match, but prediction markets often incorporate real-time information and can move faster as new data emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus lies and highlight instances where one venue values an outcome differently than the other, offering insight into market efficiency and public opinion.
On Predict, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that result. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move. This mechanism ensures the market price stays responsive to changing expectations and incorporates the distributed knowledge of all participants in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match result as confirmed by authoritative sports sources. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on team news, injury updates, betting patterns, and other factors that traders believe could influence the fixture. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Several factors could shift prices before this market resolves. Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes often trigger significant moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader positioning. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal new information. Additionally, real-time developments during the match itself—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive rapid repricing as the outcome becomes clearer and traders adjust their expectations accordingly.