TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether selected Netherlands and Japan players record either a goal or an assist during the FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026. Each player's performance is evaluated across the full match including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods.
Each market tracks a specific player's goal or assist contribution during the entire Netherlands vs Japan FIFA World Cup match on June 14, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. A market resolves to Yes if the designated player records at least one goal or one assist during this timeframe. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by that player's actual goals and assists recorded.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market aggregates the collective forecast of participants betting on goal-scoring plays, which can sometimes offer a contrasting view to what major sportsbooks are pricing for the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to specific outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of buy and sell pressure at any moment, with share prices ranging from $0 to $1 and representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As traders update their positions based on team news, injury reports, or tactical shifts, the market price adjusts in real time to reflect the latest consensus forecast.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the Netherlands versus Japan fixture concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether a player from either team scores a goal or records an assist during the match. Resolution hinges on official match records and widely reported statistics, ensuring that all participants can independently confirm the final result.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before the match kicks off. Team announcements regarding key player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes often trigger sharp price movements, as do coaching decisions or tactical adjustments revealed in the lead-up to kickoff. Weather conditions, venue details, and recent form or head-to-head history can also influence trader sentiment. Once the match begins, live action—early goals, assists, or momentum swings—will drive continuous repricing as the probability of each outcome evolves in real time.