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399,592
Markets across
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Closed: Sep 24, 6:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Germany, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Netherlands and Germany score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Netherlands in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Germany, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Netherlands and Germany score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Netherlands in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there’s significant public interest and active trading. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a growing consensus. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the Netherlands vs. Germany match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or tactical adjustments announced by either team could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game can influence trading activity and, therefore, the market price. A strong performance by either team in their previous matches could also impact trader confidence and move this market.