TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the Netherlands versus Germany UEFA Nations League match will be over or under 1.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the “Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 1.5” outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official match results reported on https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on September 24th at 2:45 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during the game.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 24 at 2:45 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and expert analysis, potentially providing a more accurate reflection of the true likelihood of various results in the Netherlands vs. Germany match. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the Netherlands will win, they'll buy shares, driving up the price and increasing the implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure will lower the price.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Netherlands vs. Germany match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the shares they hold corresponding to the correct outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to this date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Netherlands or Germany would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the coaches could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in other qualifying matches or friendly games involving these teams might impact public sentiment and, consequently, the market price. Even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on match day could play a role in how traders assess the probabilities.