TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Netherlands and Germany, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Netherlands and Germany, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market suggests a more uncertain outcome, it could indicate disagreement between the two. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges that impacts perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—the Netherlands or Germany—scores the first goal in the match. Official match records and widely accepted sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive record of which team achieved the first goal.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or player availability would likely trigger significant movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment could also affect trading behavior. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about developments surrounding both teams is crucial for understanding potential market movements before Sep 24, 2026.