TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether the Netherlands will score at least 3 goals combined across all their group stage matches at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring stands at 50.5% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records of goals scored during regulation and stoppage time throughout the group stage. Watch the Netherlands' performance in their opening group match to gauge their offensive form and attacking efficiency early in the tournament.
Netherlands goal totals are measured across all group stage matches, including regulation and stoppage time. Own goals scored by opposing players that benefit Netherlands count toward Netherlands's total, while own goals scored by Netherlands players that benefit opponents do not count. Resolution occurs when Netherlands's goal total reaches or exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs. For the Netherlands group-stage goals market, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook offerings reveals how much consensus exists around Dutch offensive output. Prediction markets may price in longer-tail scenarios or emerging team news faster than traditional books update their lines.
The Netherlands: Group Stage Goals market on Kalshi resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after all group-stage matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup are complete. Resolution is determined by the total number of goals scored by the Netherlands across all three of their group-stage fixtures. The specific threshold or outcome definition is set by the market terms at Kalshi, and settlement occurs once official tournament records confirm the final goal tally.
Key catalysts for Netherlands: Group Stage Goals include squad announcements and injury updates to star forwards or midfielders, the official group-stage draw revealing opponent strength, recent international friendlies and qualifying performance, and tactical shifts under the national team coach. Pre-tournament form, player transfers to top clubs, and any late roster changes can shift market expectations around Dutch offensive output. As the tournament begins, early group-stage results and goal-scoring patterns will dramatically reprrice the market toward resolution.