TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 10:50 AM EST
Kalshi
A national team will compete in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with one of their players or the team collectively emerging as the leading goal scorer during the tournament.
The event resolves based on which player scores the most goals for the Netherlands during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time, but goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. If no player scores any goals for the Netherlands, the No Goalscorer outcome resolves to Yes. When two or more players are tied for the most goals scored, Yes holders receive 1/N rounded down to the nearest cent, where N equals the number of tied players, while No holders receive $1 minus the Yes payout. If a specific player is selected and that player ties for the most goals, the payout is split equally among all tied players.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and sports media predictions. Markets aggregate real-time information from many traders with financial incentives to be accurate, while analysts typically publish periodic reports. For Netherlands: Goal Leader, market prices may move faster than analyst updates in response to team news, player form, or injury reports. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions and media consensus can reveal where the market is pricing in information that analysts have not yet fully incorporated.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Netherlands: Goal Leader is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability that a specific player will finish as the Netherlands' leading goal scorer. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, where higher prices indicate stronger market belief in that outcome. Traders buy shares at the ask price if they believe the outcome is likely, or sell at the bid price if they think it is unlikely. The spread between bid and ask reflects market liquidity and uncertainty around the event.
The Netherlands: Goal Leader market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final goal tally for the Netherlands across the relevant tournament or competition period. The player with the highest number of goals scored for the Netherlands during that window is declared the goal leader. If there is a tie, market rules specify how the outcome is settled. Traders should monitor official team records and governing body announcements as the event approaches to understand the exact resolution criteria.
Several catalysts can shift odds for Netherlands: Goal Leader. Player injuries or returns to fitness will impact expectations for individual scorers. International match results and goal-scoring performances during qualifiers or tournament play directly influence market prices. Transfer news or club form changes may affect player availability or confidence. Tactical shifts by the Netherlands coaching staff, lineup announcements, and head-to-head competition between rival strikers all generate trading activity. Media coverage highlighting emerging talent or form slumps can also trigger significant price movements as traders reassess probabilities.