TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nelson Hysa vs. Thomas Narmo
polymarket
kalshi

Nelson Hysa vs. Thomas Narmo

Volume:
$35,993

Nelson Hysa

 - Kalshi

Nelson Hysa - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 5:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nelson Hysa

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,271
N/A
N/A
$10,601
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nelson Hysa vs. Thomas Narmo

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thomas Narmo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,211
N/A
N/A
$14,618
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the boxing match between Nelson Hysa and Thomas Narmo scheduled for August 29, 2026. The markets will resolve based on who is officially declared the winner of the fight, with specific rules for draws, cancellations, or postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market type divergence between binary outcome (Kalshi) and choice-outcome (Polymarket)Hero tip: Traders should consider cross-platform hedging. Kalshi participants need to account for unresolved scenarios (draws, NCs) that Polymarket explicitly handles with a 50-50 outcome

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary market that resolves Yes if either Nelson Hysa OR Thomas Narmo wins the fight scheduled for Aug 29, 2026
  • Polymarket: Choice market resolving to specific fighter name if declared winner, or 50-50 for draws, No Contest, cancellations, or postponements beyond Sep 12, 2026
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Nelson Hysa" if Nelson Hysa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Thomas Narmo, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Thomas Narmo" if Thomas Narmo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.

Kalshi

If Nelson Hysa wins the Nelson Hysa vs Thomas Narmo boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Narmo wins the Nelson Hysa vs Thomas Narmo boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.