TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Bettors predict how many goals Necaxa and Monterrey will each score in their Liga MX matchup on July 26, 2026. The event covers the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regulation play, with own goals credited to the team receiving the goal.
Resolution is based on the Necaxa vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for July 26, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Goals are counted for each team independently at thresholds of over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 goals. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. The event does not include extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowdsourced information rather than individual expert opinion. On this market, traders who profit from accurate predictions continuously adjust prices based on breaking news, team form, and injury reports. Analyst forecasts tend to update more slowly and may carry institutional bias, whereas prediction markets reward those who spot mispricings first. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcome ranges. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information emerges—team news, betting patterns, or match conditions—the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and prices adjust instantly. Your entry and exit prices depend on available liquidity and the current consensus probability at the moment of trade execution.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the Necaxa vs Monterrey match concludes and the final team total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual combined performance metric specified in the market definition, confirmed through official match records and reporting. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-match expectations, live score updates, and trader positioning. Resolution is automatic once the event data becomes publicly available and verifiable.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports on star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and betting market shifts from professional syndicates. Weather conditions, venue factors, and coaching changes can also influence expectations. Live match developments—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time. Social media sentiment and late-breaking tactical news often trigger volatility spikes, creating opportunities for traders who monitor multiple information streams closely.