TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group pertains to the second half outcome of the NEC versus SBV Excelsior Eredivisie soccer match. The markets focus on determining which team will score more goals in the second half of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the second half will end in a draw.
In the upcoming Eredivisie game between NEC and SBV Excelsior, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NEC" if NEC score more goals than SBV Excelsior in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if NEC and SBV Excelsior score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior score more goals than NEC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Excelsior vs Eindhoven Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026: a win for Excelsior, a win for Eindhoven, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to Yes if its designated outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes, while the team-specific markets resolve to No. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution focuses solely on results within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favorite team, while the other could reflect international or neutral traders. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and minimum trade sizes, which also influences price discovery and can keep the two platforms from aligning perfectly.
Injuries, tactical changes, or momentum swings during the match can all shift this market. Key moments like red cards, substitutions, or scoring bursts often trigger rapid adjustments in probability. Also, broader news such as weather delays or crowd energy may influence trader sentiment, causing price swings on Polymarket and Kalshi as new information emerges before the final whistle.