TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Nebraska or Michigan State during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team in that quarter for the market to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Nebraska vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Nebraska is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Nebraska's second-quarter point differential exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points). Conversely, markets where Michigan State is the potential winner resolve if Michigan State's second-quarter point differential exceeds its specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are widely accessible and represent another data point for evaluating the potential outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Buyers are expressing belief that the spread will be *less* than the contract price, while sellers believe it will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome for the Nebraska vs Michigan State second quarter spread, and this price will fluctuate as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Nebraska vs Michigan State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning contract. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted spread matches the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Nebraska or Michigan State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated power rankings, could influence trader behavior. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could all contribute to volatility in this market until resolution.