TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New England Patriots will score over 42.5 points in their game against the Seattle Seahawks. Currently, the probability of the Patriots exceeding this total on Kalshi is 13.0%, while the probability of the Seahawks scoring over 35.5 points is 9.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score of the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the fixture on the estimated resolution date of September 10, 2026.
Each market specifies a different point threshold for either the Seattle Seahawks or the New England Patriots to exceed in their game scheduled for September 9, 2026. If the designated team scores more points than the stated threshold during the game, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The thresholds vary significantly, offering a range of outcomes from very low-scoring to high-scoring performances for each team. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Patriots-Seahawks team total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. This dynamic process aims to converge towards a fair and efficient market price.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official combined score of the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks as recorded by official league sources. The market will settle to 100 if the actual team total matches the winning contract’s value, and proportionally less for other outcomes. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses following the official resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information entering the market and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.