TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the third quarter of an upcoming football game. It captures the competitive performance of each team within a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term momentum and strategy.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the designated game. If Seattle scores more points than New England in that quarter, the 'Seattle wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New England outscores Seattle, the 'New England wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish the quarter with equal points, neither team-specific market resolves to Yes; instead, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and the operator disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the third quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will move favorably for buyers. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Patriots or the Seahawks winning the third quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the third quarter. The higher the price, the more confidence the market has in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the third quarter of the Patriots-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine which contract pays out. The contract corresponding to the team that wins the third quarter will settle at 100, while the other contract will settle at 0. Traders will then receive or owe the difference between their purchase price and the settlement price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift perceptions. Finally, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive changes in the prices within this market.