TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored by both teams combined during a specific quarter of a football game. Bettors can predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential payout.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 9, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the 'Yes' outcome to occur, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these markets, regardless of any overtime or other quarters. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body's official scoring will determine the outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, which can skew the implied probabilities. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market evolves as more information and opinions are factored in by participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws closer and new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Patriots-Seahawks 3rd quarter. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective prediction; a higher price indicates a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Patriots-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100 if the total points fall within the range defined by the contracts traded, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Patriots or Seahawks would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could play a role. Even public perception, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts for this market.