TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter of their game scheduled for September 9, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. The outcome is determined solely by the points scored in the second quarter, with all other quarters irrelevant to the resolution. If the total points scored in that quarter surpass the threshold defined in a specific market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rules consistently specify that only points from the second quarter count, ensuring clarity and focus on the designated period.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of an outcome, derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 2nd quarter total will be above or below a certain threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the most likely outcome. The current price reflects the market’s expectation of the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Patriots-Seahawks game will be used to determine whether those who purchased ‘yes’ contracts (expecting a total above the threshold) or ‘no’ contracts (expecting a total below the threshold) will be paid out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Patriots or Seahawks could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact scoring potential. In-game events, like early touchdowns or turnovers, will also cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.