TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that quarter, without considering the final game result or points from other quarters.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 9, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the point margin required for resolution, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for both possible winners. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets operate independently—meaning a single game outcome may satisfy multiple markets if the point differential meets several thresholds. The official result is determined solely by official game statistics from the governing league at the conclusion of the second quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price will shift based on collective belief. If a significant number of traders believe the Patriots will perform better than expected, the price will move in their favor, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the latest available information and the collective intelligence of its traders.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Patriots-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout amounts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Patriots or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls and media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.